Today might unfold to be a record day with large hail and the threat of long tracked dangerous tornadoes. I am in North Carolina at my brothers wedding and will unfortunatly miss out on this event but I wanted to posted some information regaurding the weather today. This is a real dangerous situation and life threatening to say the least so everyone needs to have a source of warning information for today and tonight across the whole Southeast.

Model images from TwisterData

Day 1 Convective Outlook

Day 1 Tornado Probability 

Nam Surface Based CAPE (7:00 pm cst)

0-1 km Storm Relative Helicity (7:00 pm cst)

0-1 EHI (7:00 pm cst)

Sig Tor Index

PROBABILITY TABLE:
PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES                        :  80%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /F2-F5/ TORNADOES         :  60%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS              :  70%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS          :  60%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS              :  70%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES          :  50%

PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : >95%

  ...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
DESTRUCTIVE TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
NASHVILLE TENNESSEE TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF SELMA ALABAMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

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